Full information about the "Zabadani and al-Fouah" negotiations file

Eldorar Alshamia Editor | 25 September, 2015
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ElDorar AlShamia:
The Fierce military campaign of the Assad regime on the city of Zabadani in Rif-Dimashq Province is in third month, where participated by the Lebanese Hezbollah militia , the Syrian Social Nationalist Party militia and the fourth corps completely to the extent that the attackers number to the region estimated at the equivalent of a full military legions.

 

 

Reality on the ground now refers to a high proportion of destruction in Zabadani to approximately 85% of residential buildings, and reverse the residing area of the rebels whose number is 1200 fighters before these battles  to turn the area to be very tight square after their loss to hunkering down factor in buildings, in addition to migration of the Zabadani civilian people to Madaya , Beqeen and Serghaya areas.

In fact, Assad regime's needs emerged clearly to put an end for this beleaguered region, which costs a lot of  human and material potential for his regime estimated thousands of fighters, which means to be ready to attack another new trapping areas, in the countryside of Damascus, and Zabadani , Madaya Bqeen and Srghaya will not the only ones , especially when the regime senses the danger after the  Zabadani rebels seize heavy weapons after the attack on the regime sites in the western mountain, while the fighters of Madaya ,Bqeen and Serghaya have  only light weapons.

On the other hand, attacking the al-Fouah and Kefraya- strongholds of Shiite militias in Idlib wasn’t the priority of the Jaish al-Fateh , where it was progressing at a steady pace towards the Syrian coast after it seized sensitive sites in the al-Ghab plain and it became close to the Jureen camp, however the fighters worried about the lives of more than 50 thousand of people, and approximately 1500 rebel fighters  in case  Zabadani, Madaya , Bqeenand and Serghaya fell by force which made Jaish al-Fateh to attack using  all its weight on the al-Fouah and Kefraya barracks’ , to impose the revolutionary reality on Iran ,Hezbollah and the regime and forbid  to enter the region , as it had happened before that in the al-Quseer and Yabrud.

Once the Jaish al-Fateh attack began at the barracks in the north then, Iran asked for a truce  two times in a row, but the insistence of Iran as well as the regime on the displacement of civilians from those areas, making the Jaish al-Fateh  to re-attack again and in a stronger way, to seize its control on important and strategic areas , such as the al-Khrba-hill  and the south lines of al-Fouah, which prompted Iran to seek a third truce, in order to sit at the negotiating table, but this time its position is weaker than the last times.
 


ElDorar network from private sources, has learned that Jaish al-Fateh  seeks to take out of the remainder of Zabadani fighters from the heart of the blockade, as well as shut down the regime and Hezbollah attack on Madaya Bqeen and Serghaya, for several months, allowing them to enter the food, medicine and break the siege, putting away the specter of killing and torturing from  thousands of families stranded there in case the regime and Hezbollah continues to attack, which enjoys a strong military position in that region, as the supplied lines open, from Lebanon and Syria, and the rebels are suffering from the siege, and their potential will never compare to the regimes’.

In contrary the Jaish al-Fateh  did not accept through the previous negotiations to allow the Shiite militias to exit  the al-Fouah and Kefraya, but a limited number of young people, women, and adults, from the families of these militias, as well as a limited number of patients, which means that the paper pressure on Iran through the trapped Shiite militias and Hezbollah officers will continue al-Fouah.

 

And there are some items that the Jaish al-Fateh  handle are to release a large number of detainees, mostly women and children, which have increased in recent reports about rising in rape and torture  levels against detainees in the main Syrian prisons.

The remaining next "48"hours are the most sensitive, and articulated in the military and political equation that the rebels are trying to impose by linking the situation in northern Syria- controlled  almost completely by rebels , with the fate of the besieged areas in the countryside of Damascus, comes all this in light of big losses to the regime as well as new areas losing in the Eastern Ghouta.