Saudi-Turkish intervention

Maher Alloush Abo Baker | 19 February, 2016
   Views

Intervene in the affairs of the Syrian State and its regime is still subject to the international law; all states operating in Syria entered legally, either at the request of the regime –that internationally recognized regime so far, such as Russia and Iran, or under the pretext of combating terrorism, like other countries, which are most effective gate for the anti-Assad regime party.
This may explain  what has been circulated recently about the Sudi-Turkish  intervention  to fight Daash. If we look at it positively, that comes within the context of the search for international cover or legal umbrella enables  direct intervene from which to the Syrian geographic , and then carry out their own agendas in support Revolution ,and certainly the dirty umbrella that the Syrian territory is violated by, and introduces everyone underneath is Daash .
There is no doubt that the Saudi intervention - if it comes- is the last bet that we can rely on the functional states, which led to the destruction of the Arab region and the inevitable death . The evaluation  of such intervention  either positively or negatively will be by looking at the ground-agenda that would be performed.  It means that : will Daash be the pretext of this potential intervention , and then these States to implement its own agenda in supporting the revolution and the uprooting of the regime, and stop the Iranian tide in the region, or what else?
It has become clear the decline of Daash in Syria, which means strengthening the marginalization of the Sunni presence in the region, and expelling  the Sunni Arabs of equations or future regional balances; due to the case of malice and hatred created by Daash. The new American-Iranian rapprochement, in a move similar to what happened in Iraq completely , \best  thanks to the stupidity of jihadist movements and the secret agents regimes, transboundary militias in addition to our bad management to hot issues in which the region boils.
The all influential countries  and those are affected by what is happening in the Syrian arena is now in a race against time, in view of what is happening on the border north of Aleppo, Azaz and around; because of the arrival of Kurdish militias to Azaz, and its control over the border strip means approaching the birth of the alleged Kurdish state, and arriving at the sea  would integrate  in accessing such birth.
Allowing to form of a hostile state or an abnormal protrusion in the southern vicinity of Turkey means the separation and removal of the Sunni Turkey away from its strategic depth those are the Sunni Arabs ,with what could be raised later such a state of unrest in the depth of the Turkish state, especially if you look to demographic extend in the Turkish interior, which may in some way turn to hotbeds of tension areas by Kurdish militias later.
Assuming these Kurdish militias have not reached Azaz, responding  to US instructions that claims to stop at Meneg Airport, then Turkey would slow down  for the second time to intervene, and be betrayed  by the US promises that the Kurdish militias have not exceeded its drawn borders, and then these militias will start a ground war against Daash under the cover of the international coalition, and supported by the United States later, to control the already  suffocated and congested Sunni state, which are meant to be built on the ruins of Daash.
Everyone is racing against time, and the territory in which it is prepared for Sunni Arabs in Syria has become an appetite bite for them; because "the area conqueror of ​​ Daash will get it," This is the secret of beyond the urgency of all parties to access to areas under the control of Daash , so the Assad regime and its allies -Russia and Iran, and the militias of the Kurdish-backed Russia and America, and factions of SDF backed regionally. In case the regime get arrived  and the Kurdish militias to Azaz, this means re-float the regime  internationally, and then to be put forward as an essential partner in combating  terrorism and the fight against Daash, in conjunction with the Syrian Democracy Forces (SDF), which presents itself as a faction or a revolutionary component of the Syrian revolution, and in this scenario the dreams of Russia and America have been achieved in the nip of the Syrian revolution and the establishment of an alliance between the regime and the opposition in order to combat terrorism, which sought by Moscow prior to the Geneva 1 .
Now more than ever it is imperative on the Syrian revolution that is stripping itself from the allies, and that the search for self-exits from the crisis, the basic goal is to preserve the revolution itself the "struggle for survival"; because the revolution lived the case of a massive drain on the level of the human component, if it continues for a longer period ,it may reflect negatively on the progress of the Revolution line entirely, making losses associated with the ability to survive .
Everyone allies before  enemies must realize that we are not the only ones involved in this battle, and that sparks would apply to everyone without exception, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and others ... and the desire to triumph the Syrian Revolution will not intercede to ; because we now live in a real war, it does not work with the statements and boastings of words.
Allies should be aware if they wanted a solution that not only rely on us in front of them all, and this will certainly be less expensive for them physically first, Second the risks that hit directly military intervention; the possibility of a third world war is not far off if states intervened directly in this file.
Major countries may be seeking to drain Saudi Arabia and Turkey to implicate in a big war, do not know how to get out of, may be the direct Russian intervention in the war is part of the international game to implicate Russia, too, and entered into the quagmire of war ... and that the major powers to avoid World War III, and achieve its goal to destroy the two together ... I mean: Russian power seeking its traditional role as an international pole, and force the Turkish to search for the historic role in the UN.  It may be a modern western corridors the words for World war III, and the warning from the ignition, and research in the willingness of major powers ... it may be a part of this scenario.

We certainly understand the seriousness of the situation and we do not demand  Turkey intervention in Syria, and its impact on the international conflict but on the global system; so it was the words of Medvedev was clear when he warned of a third world war if anyone intervene in Syria without the approval of the regime or the international community.
It may be intended to intimidate and discourage Turkey to continue on the protection of national security, has been warning seriously enough to ignite a war. There is no doubt that the omission of Turkey to the Russian aircraft was a real test of the will of the parties to go to war .
We are fully aware of the seriousness of the situation, does not call for the Turkish state to demolish what was built over two decades in a day, but the searchers for their own ruins state must all know about the remains of their countries in the history of Turkey is an example that the war days were not something optional .
Turkey has made a big mistake when its leaders  thought they were able to run the policy of "zero problems", although it is aware of a lot of flames around ... they are living in the quake zone, certainly, and unfortunately were not thirteen war with Russia alone is sufficient to install this issue in the Turkish state memory .
Turkey without a doubt is beginning to realize the origin of the problem, and they  knew where to lay the snake, and where they should start ... but it's very clear that they are afraid of confrontation coarse, and this is something very natural in a country shaped businessmen Government under the slogan of improving the economy and well-being, and did not constitute a Government war to face the risks and challenges that surround it,

Turkey still betting on NATO, trying to intervene through international cover prevents the depletion in a  long and devastating war, Russia has committed the folly ignited , they want to enter the major countries in Tahoun war, this trend is true without a doubt, but the question is ... How long will await Turkey joint international intervention that achieves its purpose?
Have to wait too much waiting for Turkey international intervention to achieve its interests; because the destroyed part of the decree for the area scheme, and the delay in the study of history the future and read properly will cause many problems could have been avoided with little daring ... I've watched everyone how to direct Russian intervention holding the Case Syrian, and insert it into international conflict outright, and limited the influence of Turkey and allies in the course of the absence of Turkish aviation event for the atmosphere model.
And finally,to be brought to beware of is secured , do not sing as much as warned ... It is more calculating losses not traded ,Turkey has put itself in the goal circle when it decided to return to the big clubs again, and the West and Russia will not allow they are to return to the impact on the international scene as a superpower no matter how committed to international legitimacy ... not only option for Turkey to regain its historic role as a player and moving fierce in the region initially ...
There is no doubt that they may lose in the short-term part of the prosperity of the economy ... but it will gain in the long term security and stability ... If it wanted to maintain the two-decades building, it must take bold and decisive decisions, and thinks that the historical transformations based on paper understandings it The most important .

Article by: Maher Alloush "Abo Baker"